Kepler
A Berlin-based quantitative football model that publishes picks with the price it posted, the kick-off price and the closing price, and settles each at one flat unit in a public paginated ledger.
Our rating in one line: As of 27 Oct 2026, Kepler's published record shows -1.29% ROI over 1,353 level-stakes bets (Aug – 26 Oct 2026), self-reported: Performance 49/100. Transparency score: 80/100 (high transparency).
- Type
- Quant football model picks
- Sport
- Football
- Coverage
- Football, global leagues
- Country
- Multi
- Price
- €19.99/month early-access price (regular €49.99 from 1 Dec 2026); 14-day free trial
- Results
- View published results ↗
- Affiliate
- Unknown
- First seen
- Live since August 2026 (company's own site, source)
At a glance
- ROI
- -1.29%
- Settled bets
- 1,353
- Period
- Aug – 26 Oct 2026
- Evidence
- • Self-reported⚑ Advised odds, may be hard to match
18+. Link may be an affiliate link.
Performance breakdown
| How the score is built | |
|---|---|
| Raw score (50 + 1.25 × ROI, capped 0–100) | 48.4 |
| Bets that count (self-reported, × ½) | 676 |
| Sample weight = bets that count ÷ (bets that count + 500) | 0.575 |
| Performance score = 50 + (raw − 50) × weight | 49 |
| Published record | |
|---|---|
| Settled bets / selections | 1,353 |
| Profit / loss | -17.51 units (flat 1 unit) |
| Level stakes | Yes |
| ROI | -1.29% |
| Odds basis | Price posted with each pick (also shown at kick-off and close) |
| Period | Aug – 26 Oct 2026 |
| Basis of record | Self-reported |
| Notes | Win rate 55.88%, average odds 1.77. At kick-off prices the same picks show −13.08u (−0.97%); closing line value +0.59% on 668 picks priced at close. By month: Aug +34.29u (148), Sep +13.90u (573), Oct −65.70u (632). |
| Source | https://keplerquant.com/track-record · checked 27 Oct 2026 |
50 = break-even. Past results don't predict future returns. How we score Performance.
Transparency score breakdown
| Criterion | Max | Status | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picks published before the off, timestamped | 25 | ✓ Verified | 25 |
| Full public ledger including losers | 25 | ✓ Verified | 25 |
| Price basis stated (SP, BSP, exchange, CLV) | 15 | ✓ Verified | 15 |
| 500+ settled selections | 15 | ✓ Verified | 15 |
| Methodology documented | 10 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Results downloadable (CSV/API) | 10 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 80 |
Transparency score: how openly a tool or tipster publishes a record you can verify. How we score Transparency · How to raise a transparency score.
Is this you? Are you Kepler?
If anything on this page is wrong or out of date, or you can share a fuller or newer record, a results page or your methodology, send us the public evidence. We review every request against our published criteria and log every change on the changelog. Ratings can't be paid for and are never influenced by affiliate status.
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Other football AI tools we rate
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- OddsIntelPerformance 52 · Transparency 85
- GoalGrid AIPerformance 51 · Transparency 65
- Footlab AIPerformance 47 · Transparency 65
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- Football ChartsPerformance 37 · Transparency 90
Guides: Best AI football prediction tools · Does AI sports betting work? · All guides
How we check records: The transparency checklist (what counts as evidence) · AI tipping transparency report 2026 (how many records pass)