The numbers
| Metric (AI tools) | This issue |
|---|---|
| AI tools rated | 81 |
| With a scoreable record (full or provisional Performance score) | 25 of 81 (31%) |
| Of those, independently proofed | 2 of 25 (8%) |
| Median ROI, full-score records | +2.08% (n = 23) |
| Median ROI, independently proofed full-score records | +9.65% (n = 2) |
| Median Transparency score | 50/100 (n = 81) |
| Publish picks timestamped before the event | 33 of 81 (41%) |
Shares are of all AI tools rated, except “independently proofed”, which is a share of tools with a scoreable record. ROI is level-stakes ROI at each record's own price basis, before fees. How we score.
About this baseline
This is the first monthly edition. It records the fixed metric set on 19 Oct 2026; month-on-month comparisons begin with the next edition. The metric set is fixed so that every edition is comparable; any change to it will be announced with a dated method note.
Readings from dated snapshots
Data
| 18 Oct | 33% |
| 19 Oct | 31% |
Data
| 18 Oct | 10% |
| 19 Oct | 8% |
Data
| 18 Oct | 50 |
| 19 Oct | 50 |
Related reading
How this edition is made
The metric set is fixed and documented below; every value is computed from our ratings data on the date shown, then stored and frozen. Charts use only real dated snapshots.
- AI tools rated
- With a scoreable record (full or provisional Performance score)
- Of those, independently proofed
- Median ROI, full-score records
- Median ROI, independently proofed full-score records
- Median Transparency score
- Publish picks timestamped before the event
Method: tracker-v1 (Performance v2 + Transparency v1; providers v2). Methodology · How often we re-check · Scoreboard · Changelog
How to cite this edition
Recommended citation
AI Sports Ratings (2026). State of AI predictions: October 2026 (baseline). Published 19 October 2026. https://aisportsratings.com/tracker/state-of-ai-predictions-2026-10
BibTeX
@misc{aisportsratings2026state,
author = {{AI Sports Ratings}},
title = {{State of AI predictions: October 2026 (baseline)}},
year = {2026},
howpublished = {\url{https://aisportsratings.com/tracker/state-of-ai-predictions-2026-10}},
note = {Published 19 October 2026}
}You're welcome to quote figures from this edition with a link back to this page.