EdgeDigger
Estimates a win probability and fair price for every runner in UK and Irish racing and flags horses whose odds are bigger than its fair price. It also runs its own strategy on top of those ratings and publishes every strategy bet, winners and losers, plus a calibration page comparing predicted and actual win rates.
Our rating in one line: As of 3 Nov 2026, EdgeDigger's published record shows +4.90% ROI over 516 level-stakes bets (1 Aug – 2 Nov 2026), self-reported: Performance 52/100. Transparency score: 50/100 (medium transparency).
- Type
- Model probabilities + value screener (public strategy record)
- Sport
- Horse racing
- Coverage
- UK & IE
- Country
- UK
- Price
- £14.99/month founder price for the first 50 members, then £24.99/month; 7-day free trial (card required); free tier covers the first three races on each card and a featured race
- Results
- View published results ↗
- Affiliate
- None found
- First seen
- Incorporated 6 Jun 2026 (Companies House, Value Edge AI Ltd (17265434), source)
At a glance
- ROI
- +4.90%
- Settled bets
- 516
- Period
- 1 Aug – 2 Nov 2026 (Betfair-price months)
- Evidence
- • Self-reported⚑ Advised odds, may be hard to match
18+. Link may be an affiliate link.
Performance breakdown
| How the score is built | |
|---|---|
| Raw score (50 + 1.25 × ROI, capped 0–100) | 56.1 |
| Bets that count (self-reported, × ½) | 258 |
| Sample weight = bets that count ÷ (bets that count + 500) | 0.340 |
| Performance score = 50 + (raw − 50) × weight | 52 |
| Published record | |
|---|---|
| Settled bets / selections | 516 |
| Profit / loss | +25.40 pts (1pt level stakes) |
| Level stakes | Yes |
| ROI | +4.90% |
| Odds basis | Betfair Exchange price taken from 10:30 on race morning, before commission |
| Period | 1 Aug – 2 Nov 2026 (Betfair-price months) |
| Basis of record | Self-reported |
| Notes | The strategy page shows the whole record from July 2026: 640 bets, 251 winners (39.2%), +59.4 pts (+9.3%), with July settled at starting price. We score only the months settled at the Betfair price taken on race morning, before commission (2% to 5%): August 166 bets +1.4 pts, September 153 bets +28.5 pts, October 184 bets −5.5 pts, November so far 13 bets +1.0 pts, total 516 bets +25.4 pts (+4.9%). The site says 49% of days lost money and the biggest drop from a high was 26.1 pts. Members see each day's selections from race morning, so later prices may differ. |
| Source | https://edgedigger.com/strategy · checked 3 Nov 2026 |
50 = break-even. Past results don't predict future returns. How we score Performance.
Transparency score breakdown
Run by Value Edge AI Ltd (Companies House 17265434, incorporated 6 Jun 2026, England and Wales). Selections are members-only until after the off, so we couldn't confirm a public timestamp before the off. Every strategy bet is listed day by day on a free page, but there's no CSV. The terms forbid scraping or republishing their data, so we read only the strategy, accuracy, pricing, about, how-it-works and terms pages once each.
| Criterion | Max | Status | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picks published before the off, timestamped | 25 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Full public ledger including losers | 25 | ✓ Verified | 25 |
| Price basis stated (SP, BSP, exchange, CLV) | 15 | ✓ Verified | 15 |
| 500+ settled selections | 15 | ✗ Not met | 0 |
| Methodology documented | 10 | ✓ Verified | 10 |
| Results downloadable (CSV/API) | 10 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 50 |
Transparency score: how openly a tool or tipster publishes a record you can verify. How we score Transparency · How to raise a transparency score.
Sources
Is this you? Are you EdgeDigger?
If anything on this page is wrong or out of date, or you can share a fuller or newer record, a results page or your methodology, send us the public evidence. We review every request against our published criteria and log every change on the changelog. Ratings can't be paid for and are never influenced by affiliate status.
How to raise your transparency score · the same checklist for everyone
Embed this badge
Free for this listing. It shows the current rating and check date, updates when they change, and links back here. About the badge · Badge terms
Other horse racing AI tools we rate
- Turfs Edge Tipping (TeT)Performance 59 · Transparency 40
- RaceBot UKPerformance 57 · Transparency 90
- ProBetAIPerformance 57 · Transparency 80
- FormPickPerformance 52 · Transparency 50
- RaceChat AIPerformance 50 · Transparency 75
- OddsLensPerformance 48 · Transparency 100
Guides: Best AI horse racing predictors (UK) · Does AI sports betting work? · All guides
How we check records: The transparency checklist (what counts as evidence) · AI tipping transparency report 2026 (how many records pass)