Alphr
Free model tips for AFL, NRL, Super League and NFL with accuracy, calibration and a simulated one-unit profit and loss at closing prices.
Our rating in one line: As of 3 Nov 2026, Alphr's published record shows -4.70% ROI over 533 level-stakes bets (2026 seasons: AFL, NRL, Super League), self-reported: Performance 48/100. Transparency score: 65/100 (high transparency).
- Type
- AI tips for AFL, NRL, Super League and NFL (free)
- Sport
- Multi-sport
- Coverage
- Australia, International
- Country
- AU
- Price
- Free
- Results
- View published results ↗
- Affiliate
- None found (no bookmaker links seen)
- First seen
- Not found yet
At a glance
- ROI
- -4.70%
- Settled bets
- 533
- Period
- 2026 seasons: AFL, NRL, Super League
- Evidence
- • Self-reported
18+. Link may be an affiliate link.
Performance breakdown
| How the score is built | |
|---|---|
| Raw score (50 + 1.25 × ROI, capped 0–100) | 44.1 |
| Bets that count (self-reported, × ½) | 266 |
| Sample weight = bets that count ÷ (bets that count + 500) | 0.348 |
| Performance score = 50 + (raw − 50) × weight | 48 |
| Published record | |
|---|---|
| Settled bets / selections | 533 |
| Profit / loss | -25.00 units (1u level stakes) |
| Level stakes | Yes |
| ROI | -4.70% |
| Odds basis | Real closing head-to-head prices (simulated settlement) |
| Period | 2026 seasons: AFL, NRL, Super League |
| Basis of record | Self-reported |
| Notes | Head-to-head tips, 1 unit on every priced tip, settled at closing prices: AFL 217 bets −12.3u (−5.7%), NRL 213 −10.8u (−5.0%), Super League 103 −1.9u (−1.9%). Total 533 bets, −25.0u (−4.7%). The 2025 figures on the same page are a held-out model test, so they are left out. NFL 2026-27 is in progress. |
| Source | https://alphr.com.au/accuracy · checked 21 Oct 2026 |
50 = break-even. Past results don't predict future returns. How we score Performance.
Transparency score breakdown
Profit and loss is simulated at closing prices, not prices available when tips were published. Sister racing site racealpha.com noted for a later check.
| Criterion | Max | Status | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Picks published before the off, timestamped | 25 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Full public ledger including losers | 25 | ✓ Verified | 25 |
| Price basis stated (SP, BSP, exchange, CLV) | 15 | ✓ Verified | 15 |
| 500+ settled selections | 15 | ✓ Verified | 15 |
| Methodology documented | 10 | ✓ Verified | 10 |
| Results downloadable (CSV/API) | 10 | Not yet verified | 0 |
| Total | 100 | 65 |
Transparency score: how openly a tool or tipster publishes a record you can verify. How we score Transparency · How to raise a transparency score.
Is this you? Are you Alphr?
If anything on this page is wrong or out of date, or you can share a fuller or newer record, a results page or your methodology, send us the public evidence. We review every request against our published criteria and log every change on the changelog. Ratings can't be paid for and are never influenced by affiliate status.
How to raise your transparency score · the same checklist for everyone
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Other multi-sport AI tools we rate
- NoSleepHQPerformance 55 · Transparency 50
- Sharper PointsPerformance 53 · Transparency 55
- SportBot AIPerformance 52 · Transparency 75
- ProphetAIPerformance 50 · Transparency 55
- Olympus Bets AnalyticsPerformance 49 · Transparency 85
- Kickscore AIPerformance 49 · Transparency 25
Guides: Does AI sports betting work? · All guides
How we check records: The transparency checklist (what counts as evidence) · AI tipping transparency report 2026 (how many records pass)